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covidprobability

Estimate the Unit-Wide Probability of COVID-19

We propose a method to estimate the probability of an undetected case of COVID-19 in a defined setting, when a given number of people have been exposed, with a given pretest probability of having COVID-19 as a result of that exposure. Since we are interested in undetected COVID-19, we assume no person has developed symptoms (which would warrant further investigation) and that everyone was tested on a given day, and all tested negative.

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0.1.0 2026-04-09 windows/windows R-4.5 covidprobability_0.1.0.zip 348.2 KiB

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