bayesRecon

Probabilistic Reconciliation via Conditioning

Provides methods for probabilistic reconciliation of hierarchical forecasts of time series. The available methods include analytical Gaussian reconciliation (Corani et al., 2021) <doi:10.1007/978-3-030-67664-3_13>, MCMC reconciliation of count time series (Corani et al., 2024) <doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2023.04.003>, Bottom-Up Importance Sampling (Zambon et al., 2024) <doi:10.1007/s11222-023-10343-y>, methods for the reconciliation of mixed hierarchies (Mix-Cond and TD-cond) (Zambon et al., 2024) <https://proceedings.mlr.press/v244/zambon24a.html>, analytical reconciliation with Bayesian treatment of the covariance matrix (Carrara et al., 2025) <doi: 10.48550/arXiv.2506.19554>.

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