BGVAR

Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions

Estimation of Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions (BGVAR) with different prior setups and the possibility to introduce stochastic volatility. Built-in priors include the Minnesota, the stochastic search variable selection and Normal-Gamma (NG) prior. For a reference see also Crespo Cuaresma, J., Feldkircher, M. and F. Huber (2016) "Forecasting with Global Vector Autoregressive Models: a Bayesian Approach", Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 31(7), pp. 1371-1391 <doi:10.1002/jae.2504>. Post-processing functions allow for doing predictions, structurally identify the model with short-run or sign-restrictions and compute impulse response functions, historical decompositions and forecast error variance decompositions. Plotting functions are also available. The package has a companion paper: Boeck, M., Feldkircher, M. and F. Huber (2022) "BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R", Journal of Statistical Software, Vol. 104(9), pp. 1-28 <doi:10.18637/jss.v104.i09>.

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